Towards a more resilient Philippines
It’s been 3.5 months
since we got stuck within our homes. The effects of COVID-19 can be felt all
around us‒daily news blaring with statistics, families worried about going
hungry, citizens anxious to go back to normal, and a Philippines that is
struggling to keep its economy afloat. As with major world events, this is a
big turning point in human history. When the next generations look back, they
will judge us by how we fared in fighting this pandemic.
We are feeling the brunt
of COVID-19. The recent World Bank forecast expects 2020 Philippine GDP to
contract by -1.9%. Experts are also saying that it will take at least a year
before we see our economy rebound back to pre-COVID levels.
No economic sector has
been spared. Industry (31% of GDP) has largely stalled and is only now getting
back on its feet. Agriculture (9%) is struggling with lower demand for exports
and local consumption due to reduced purchasing power. Our biggest GDP
contributor, services (60%), has been badly hit. We are seeing mass layoffs and
closures in tourism, hospitality and aviation. Remittances are drying up as
thousands of overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) are repatriated while business
process outsourcing companies (BPOs) are grappling with disruptions to their
operations and the threat of closures among the companies they serve.
To move beyond the
current crisis and to safeguard the hopes and dreams of the Filipino people, we
must revisit our country’s ability to self-sustain by looking internally. We
need to revisit our economic value chains, reassess where gaps are, and make
strategic investments accordingly. To this end, I’d like to contribute my
thoughts on six areas.
Healthy living
As the World Health
Organization (WHO) says, “Health is a fundamental human right”. In the current
situation, people need assurance that they are safe and secure and that they
have access to the resources they need to keep them that way. To this end, the
messaging on health issues must be explicit, clear and most importantly, based
on hard scientific facts and evidence. Steps must also be taken to make health
more accessible through affordable healthcare and cheaper medicines.
Information campaigns should be designed to educate the public on how to keep
themselves healthy through proper diets and good lifestyle choices.
Knowledge and education
A well-educated
population is critical to our country’s future—this is why the quality of and
access to education need to increase. While we’ve shifted towards online
learning models, limited internet access, outdated (i.e., not virtual-ready)
teaching modules and inadequate education support systems (e.g., mentors and
educational technology) greatly impact their effectiveness.
Inadequate education
support systems would probably be the most difficult to address due to
socio-economic and geographic constraints. “First-generation” students from
poorer families, for example, who are struggling with lessons would have no one
to turn to for questions, and this may demotivate them from even learning at
all. Hence, limited resources may be better spent towards upskilling teachers
to better conduct virtual classes and providing subsidized internet for
teachers and students.
Sustainable
electrification
We are on track to meet
our goal of universal electrification by 2022. This is welcome news indeed, but
our energy mix is something that we urgently need to revisit. Our CO2 emissions
have jumped by 256% since 1990. This is expected to rise if the Philippines
continues its trajectory of relying on non-renewables such as coal and oil.
While efforts have been
made to incentivize the development of alternative energy sources, we are
facing difficulties in ramping them up. One such incentive is the
Feed-in-Tariff (FiT) incentive for renewable energy producers, which is slightly
losing traction with investors due to allowance cuts. Regardless of the ongoing
debates on the cost and benefits of renewable energy, what is clear is that the
Philippines needs to implement policies that would further incentivize the
production of cleaner and cheaper renewable energy in the long run.
Strategic infrastructure
& IT
Connectivity is king
these days. We need to accelerate the creation of physical and digital pathways
by building roads and setting up more cell sites to foster development and
promote active collaboration between our 2000 inhabited islands. This would
help in decongesting overcrowded Metro Manila and redistributing wealth towards
other parts of the country. In addition, strategic IT investments must be made
to accelerate and optimize the delivery of government services (e.g. national
ID system).
Support local
To generate the funds
needed for inclusive growth, let us support agriculture and industry by buying
Philippine-made products. Buying local means we get to keep money circulating
within our economy and give back to our local producers, motivating them and
giving them the resources to scale up and reinvest in R&D and technology.
In agriculture, this
means increased higher yields, more resilient crops and livestock, better
agricultural technologies and improved distribution capabilities. Not only do
these investments pay themselves off, they’re also accompanied by an economic
multiplier effect that will reinvigorate our agricultural sector and address
the issue of food security.
For industry, this means
higher-tier, value-adding capabilities and more cost-efficient green
technologies in local manufacturing, thereby making goods more affordable and
accessible and stimulating economic activity in the other sectors as well.
Moreover, I’d like to
emphasize that these investments would create jobs. More jobs translate to
higher average family incomes and a brighter quality of life for Filipinos.
This further creates an impetus for our people to really stay and contribute
towards the local economy.
Hope springs ever
eternal. If there’s one quality that marks the Filipino people, it is
resiliency. We’d been colonized, had to rebuild our cities, suffered under
terrorism and dictatorship, fended off economic recessions, and fled from our
homes in the face of calamities.
Sa dami ng pinagdaanan
natin, ngayon pa ba tayo susuko? (With all that we’ve been through, do we have
to give up now?) Now, more than ever, we must exemplify the bayanihan
(concerted effort) spirit and unite as one people. In the midst of COVID-19, we
must all look forward, continue fighting, and never give up!
References:
https://www.pwc.com/ph/en/business-unusual/dreaming-of-a-more-sustainable-and-resilient-philippines.html
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